Worldwide retail e-commerce sales reached $2.290 trillion in 2017, some 10.1% of all retail sales, and are set to hit $4.479 trillion by 2021. While many markets are already well developed, there’s still a huge potential audience to be reached and some exciting up-coming trends will help to reach them.
By Charles Brewer, CEO DHL eCommerce.
There’s big news ahead for e-commerce in 2018. Exciting and developing new markets like Southeast Asia, the Middle East and Latin America are set to take off in a big way and new technologies are likely to cause a huge shift in the way companies market their goods online. What should SMEs be looking out for in 2018 and which trends are most likely to help their businesses? Here are my eight “ones to watch” this year.
1. Customer experience and personalization
Customer experience transformation is not just for big players like Amazon. The trend of personalization will be key to winning and keeping customers in the years to come. Businesses that tackle customer experience transformation will win customers’ hearts and minds. Why? With today’s information overload, consumers don’t want to waste their time with irrelevant information. Offering personalized services, products and information will help SMEs stand out from the crowd online and keep customers coming back for more.
According to a report by Boston Consulting Group, retailers that have implemented personalization strategies see sales gains of 6-10%, at a rate two to three times faster than other retailers. There are all kinds of ways to do it. Amazon suggests other products customers might like; Netflix suggests other films and series based on what the viewer has watched before. Small companies can do the same without being intrusive – an email asking if the customer is looking for something similar, for example, or special offers via social media can go a long way.
2. Omni platform & device
By the end of 2017, two billion people used their mobile devices to shop online globally. And while not all online shoppers make purchases with their mobile phone, some 95% of mobile internet users look up local information on their phones prior to calling or visiting a business. According to Google, “some 85% of online shoppers start a purchase on one device and finish on another.” The trend provides a clear message from consumers: 2018 will be about integrating online platforms and devices.
It won’t be enough to have a presence on multiple channels; these devices will also need to be connected so customers get the feeling they’re dealing with one entity and not many separate parts of it. Aspects like design, branding, tone of voice, advertising and social media content all need to be tied together. Businesses will need an omni channel strategy to survive in the coming years and a solid back-end to connect customers to their brand, no matter which device they’re using.
Mobile devices will become even more important for online shopping in 2018. Mobile will reach 70% of e-commerce traffic by the end of 2018 and more and more people will purchase via their mobile devices. According to Goldman Sachs forecasts, mobile commerce revenue in 2018 will equal the total e-commerce revenue for 2013, some $626 billion. Companies like Google, Samsung and Apple are making it even easier with advancements in mobile payment technology which will make mobile checkout the preferred method of payment for many customers. For example, in the U.S., Starbucks already sees 10% of orders via their Mobile Order and Pay app. It turns out that people who purchase on their mobile phones tend to spend twice as much as those who don’t purchase on mobile devices.
4. Voice search
More and more people are using voice assistance to search for products online, especially millennials, 40% of whom have already used a voice assistant prior to making a purchase. By 2020, the number will surpass 50%. The voice search trend is a big topic, particularly for search engines and advertisers. How will customers find products when they no longer have to visit a website? Businesses need to think about optimizing their listings for voice search and ensuring their content is relevant to the kind of queries customers might use when searching for their product. With home smart speakers like Amazon Echo and Google Home gaining popularity, it’s likely that in the future a customer’s first point of contact with a brand could be word of mouth – of a very different kind.
5. Convenience and increased fulfillment options
Customers want convenience, from choosing their pick-up and delivery points to having their goods delivered next day. The delivery and fulfillment market has always been competitive, but it’s going to heat up even more in 2018. Companies that want to succeed will have to be faster, more efficient and offer more options: Whether it’s time slots for home delivery or in-store pick up, the more the better. To support our customers, we’ll be further expanding our fulfillment as well as pick-up and delivery network in 2018, especially in Southeast Asia. We’ll also see increased automatization in our warehouses with the use of autonomous vehicles like our Effibot to help pick and pack. Delivery robots will also be used more and more across our network following successful trials by our sister company Deutsche Post in Germany. The aim of the game is to meet customer expectations for fast, efficient and cost-effective delivery.
6. Augmented reality
The long-awaited launch of Magic Leap’s first headset marked another step in the journey towards augmented reality shopping. Applied to online services, e-commerce could become as good as the real thing once augmented reality goes mainstream, and retailers are getting very excited about what’s ahead. TechCrunch predicts that the AR market will reach $83 billion by 2021, driven primarily by AR on mobile devices. And who wouldn’t be keen to try it? Imagine you can try on clothes before buying them, test make-up, look at a product in 3D and see how it will fit in your home? Furniture company Wayfair already offers an augmented reality feature for iOS 11. Its “View in Room 3D” allows shoppers to see 3D furniture and décor in their homes before they buy. Last year’s Singles Day in China also incorporated AR aspects, giving customers the chance to win vouchers while playing AR games similar to Pokémon Go. We’ve been talking about it for years – but 2018 may be the year augmented finally becomes a reality.
7. Emerging market potential
With e-commerce markets maturing around the world, businesses are on the lookout for new potential markets. Now that around half of US households hold a Prime membership, and nearly half of China’s population is actively making online purchases, it’s time to focus on some new geographies. The ones to watch, according to Business Insider, are India, Southeast Asia and Latin America. E-commerce penetration rates in these areas are only around 2-6%, making them a potential goldmine for growth. Moreover, these regions are expected to grow at compound annual growth rates of 31%, 32%, and 16%, respectively, through 2021.
India holds the biggest immediate potential, but SMEs should also keep their eyes on countries in Southeast Asia and Latin America. In Southeast Asia, Indonesia shows the most promise for retailers with a government open to foreign investment, and a massive population increasingly using the internet. In LatAm, we’ve already tapped into Chile’s potential. The country scored highest in the EIU’s Business Environment Ranking, which compares the attractiveness of doing business in 81 different countries. Chile scored 7.8 out of 10 – the highest of any score in Latin America. Mexico is another one to watch thanks to its stable economy and rising middle class, but don’t underestimate the massive potential in Brazil’s growing online market.
8. B2B’s data challenge
We’re all so focused on consumers and their online habits, that we often overlook the booming B2B sector. In 2017, according to Statista, “the gross merchandise volume of business-to-business e-commerce transactions is projected to amount to 7.66 trillion U.S. dollars, up from 5.83 trillion U.S. dollars in 2013.” But even though the sector is thriving, there could be trouble ahead. B2B buyers are consumers like the rest of us, and they’re starting to expect B2C-like functionalities when it comes to ordering online. “The growth of the digital-savvy millennial workforce, mobile ubiquity and relentless optimization of e-commerce technology is forcing the hand and pace of the traditionally slow-moving B2B sector,” says a report by Absolunet. According to eMarketer, the really successful B2B brands are “buyer-centric, with a clear sense of how their buyers make purchase decisions.” Gaining this kind of customer insight has a lot to do with data, and the B2B brands that succeed in 2018 will make the most of it. Ensuring quality data, and knowing how to manage and make sense of it are the challenges ahead for B2B in 2018.
We’ve got another exciting year ahead of us in the wonderful world of e-commerce and I can’t wait to see how my ‘big eight’ shape up in the year ahead. Wishing you all a very Happy New Year!
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